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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
Introduction
Education is one of the foremost concerns for countries worldwide. The sustainable development of
a nation relies not only on its economic, social, and cultural conditions but also on improving its education
system. Especially with the advent of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, the role of education is increasingly
emphasized in developing a high-quality workforce. There has been an increase in the number of students
enrolling in higher education institutions annually in foreign countries. However, the number of students
who want to leave university without obtaining a degree has also signicantly increased (Schnettler et al.,
2020). Approximately 15% of university students intend to drop out, which has become a severe issue
(Sheldon and Epstein, 2004). According to the STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, Mathematics)
education approach, the estimated dropout rate of students is around 40-50%. The dropout status of
students not only negatively affects the students themselves and the university and society as a whole
(Schnettler et al., 2020).
In Vietnam, universities have also observed numerous cases of student dropouts. For example,
Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City has issued warnings to 2,252 students who voluntarily dropped
out. University of Transport and Communication has warned 2,135 students regarding their academic
performance, with 257 students facing expulsion. The Ho Chi Minh City University of Technology and
Education has removed the names of over 450 students forced to discontinue their studies. The Ho Chi
Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intentions in Ho Chi Minh City,
Vietnam
Mai Cam Binh1 , Tran Nha Ghi1* , Nguyen Ngoc Hien1 , Nguyen Thi Trang Nhung1 , Pham Hoang Bao Ngoc1
1Faculty of Business Administration, Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam,
e-mail: maicambinh2002@gmail.com, trannhaghi@iuh.edu.vn, nguyenngochien@iuh.edu.vn,
trangnhunghk2002@gmail.com, nguyettieungoc2002@gmail.com
Abstract: The increasing number of students intending to drop out of universities in Vietnam has raised concerns. While
previous studies have addressed factors inuencing dropout intentions, several aspects still need to be explored, particularly
in developing countries like Vietnam. This research provides an overview of the factors inuencing students’ dropout intention
in Ho Chi Minh City. The study employs the Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) approach with a
survey sample of 804 students from universities in Ho Chi Minh City. The research ndings reveal that factors such as Lack of
university commitment (LUC), degree and course commitment (DCC), ineffective time management (ITM), curriculum design
(CD), Ineffective adaptation to learning environment (IALE), low classroom participation (LCP) and personal circumstances
(PC) signicantly inuence students’ dropout intentions. Additionally, factors including skills and attitudes of instructors (SAI),
instructor support (IS), positive instructor feedback (PIF), university facilities (UF), cultural and social environment (CSE), and
access to support from academic advisors (ASA) do not show statistically signicant relationships with students’ dropout intention.
Furthermore, the study nds no signicant differences in dropout intention based on gender, area, and type of university, except
for ASA has a differential impact on students’ dropout intentions based on the type of university. The research results provide
valuable insights for researchers and educational experts to understand better the factors contributing to students’ dropout
intentions. Moreover, the ndings assist educational managers and instructors in developing appropriate support measures
and interventions to enhance student engagement throughout their academic journey. Finally, the study discusses limitations
and suggests future research directions.
Keywords: Dropout intentions, higher education, Ho Chi Minh City.
Original scientic paper
Received: September 05, 2023.
Revised: October 30, 2023.
Accepted: November 05, 2023.
UDC:
159.947.5.072-057.875(597
10.23947/2334-8496-2023-11-3-417-437
© 2023 by the authors. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the
Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
*Corresponding author: trannhaghi@iuh.edu.vn
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Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
Minh City University of Industry and Trade has over 2,500 students with long-standing tuition fee debts,
putting them at risk of being banned from taking nal exams. The University of Sciences - Vietnam National
University Ho Chi Minh City has decided to expel 454 students and issue academic warnings to another
605 individuals. Statistical data demonstrates an increasing trend of student dropouts in Vietnamese
universities, highlighting the urgent need for measures to mitigate this issue.
Several studies have focused on the factors inuencing students’ intention to drop out before
completing their university education. Orion, Forosuelo, and Cavalida (2014) found that factors inuencing
students’ dropout intentions include school policies and practices, nancial resources, academic
performance, and teaching programs. Willcoxson (2010) concluded that the factors inuencing dropout
intentions differ among students in the rst, second, and third years of university. Farr-Wharton et al.
(2018) demonstrated the impact of lecturer-student exchange (student-LMX) on engagement, course
satisfaction, achievement, and intention to leave university among 363 students in an Australian university.
Schnettler et al. (2020) indicated that costs, age, and difculties in the learning process tend to make
students more likely to drop out. Lundquist, Spalding, and Landru (2002) concluded that females are more
prone to dropping out than males, and factors such as lack of faculty support, unresponsive faculty to
phone/email inquiries, and complicated faculty-student interactions increase students’ inclination to leave
the university. Bakker et al. (2021) found that supervisor and co-worker support are negatively related
to the intention to leave among nursing students. During the Covid-19 pandemic, several studies have
explored the factors inuencing students’ dropout intentions. Chi, Randall, and Hill (2021) showed that
the COVID-19 pandemic affects students’ mental health and dropout intentions, with those experiencing
anxiety or depression symptoms and burnout being more likely to consider dropping out compared to
those without mental health issues. Mtshweni (2021) investigated the factors inuencing the intention
to drop 955 students from a university in South Africa, including social adjustment, personal-emotional
adjustment, institutional attachment, and socioeconomic status. Baalmann et al. (2022) demonstrated
that parental educational aspirations, students living in partnerships, and close friends have an impact
on students’ dropout intentions among a sample of 7,169 students in a German university. Matteau et al.
(2023) revealed that excessive commitments and conicts between work, study, and personal life are
associated with higher levels of psychological stress and the intention to leave university.
The literature review shows that research on students’ dropout intentions has received signicant
attention from scholars worldwide. The factors inuencing students’ dropout intentions are diverse and
depend on each country’s timeframe and organizational cultural characteristics. Some factors inuencing
dropout intentions mentioned by Willcoxson (2010) are general, comprehensive, specic, and relevant to
the Vietnamese context. However, Willcoxson (2010) examined the differences in factors affecting dropout
intentions across semesters and among rst-, second-, and third-year students but needed to determine
the impact level of each factor on students’ dropout intentions. Moreover, the factors mentioned, such as
commitment to the institution, degree/course commitment, time management, teaching skills and attitudes
of instructors, accessibility and support from instructors, course design, feedback, ineffective adaptation
to the learning environment, class participation, infrastructure, socio-cultural environment, accessibility
and support from counseling, and personal circumstances that align with the context and culture of rst,
second, and third-year students in Vietnamese universities.
This research aims to provide an overview of the factors inuencing students’ dropout intentions
in universities within Ho Chi Minh City. While many studies have identied a range of factors that may
contribute to students’ dropout intentions, there still needs to be clear validation regarding the level of
impact of each factor. Therefore, the contribution of this study is to clarify the degree of inuence of
these factors on students’ dropout intentions in universities within Ho Chi Minh City, where extensive
validation studies still need to be completed. This research utilizes a non-probability and convenient
sampling method to collect data from the survey participants easily. The study’s geographical scope is
limited to the inner city and suburban areas of Ho Chi Minh City. The research has two main objectives:
1) identifying the factors inuencing students’ dropout intentions within the Ho Chi Minh City area, and 2)
proposing managerial implications to improve these factors to reduce students’ dropout intentions within
the Ho Chi Minh City area.
Denition of dropout intentions
According to, Pijl, Frostad, and Mjaavatn (2014), early dropout refers to needing to complete an
educational program or complete it with signicant delays. Additionally, Schwab (2018) suggests that
when individuals intend to leave school, they quickly focus on the desire to discontinue their education.
Therefore, dropout is considered the nal step in intending to leave school before early dropout occurs.
According to, Gury (2011), dropout occurs when students discontinue their studies without intending to
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
continue in the initially registered eld of study or the institution they attend. Fitzpatrick and Yoels (1992),
dene dropout as students who leave an educational institution without completing their program within
the next four years, regardless of whether they return to school later and graduate. Furthermore, dropout
can refer to individuals participating in a school course who do not wish to complete the high school
program within ve years (Pijl, Frostad, and Mjaavatn (2014)).
Based on the denitions provided above, the dropout intentions can be dened as not completing
an educational program or completing it with signicant delays, not continuing in the initially registered
eld of study or institution, leaving school without graduating within a specic timeframe, or not wanting to
complete the academic program within a certain period.
Research hypothesis development
Students have various reasons for choosing to attend a university, including personal purposes
such as academic pursuit, proximity to their residence, reputation, quality of education, and the quality of
facilities at the institution. Based on their criteria, students can evaluate suitable universities and select a
school that meets their conditions. The choice of university has a specic impact on students’ subsequent
intention to drop out, especially in cases where students do not gain admission to their desired university
and must attend an alternative institution. Willcoxson (2010) also indicates that students are more
likely to leave university when they lack organizational commitment and receive insufcient guidance
regarding enrollment choices. This situation commonly occurs among rst-year students. From the
research ndings, Willcoxson (2010) determines that when students fail to gain admission to their desired
university, the likelihood of them forming an intention to drop out increases signicantly. Furthermore,
during their studies at the alternative university, students still hope to gain admission to their initial desired
university and attend the substitute university as a stepping stone to transfer to another university, thereby
increasing their intention to drop out (Willcoxson, 2010). Bean (1980) analyzed a model contributing to
student dropout and found a correlation between student commitment and the intention to drop out. This
study demonstrates that students need more commitment to the institution to increase their intention to
drop out and continue their educational journey.
H1: The lack of university commitment positively impacts student’s dropout intentions in Ho Chi
Minh City.
MacKie (2001) demonstrates that students who engage in courses over multiple years face similar
difculties as those who have dropped out before completing their studies. However, the remaining people
exhibit more substantial commitment and attachment to the institution. Students who stay in school are
more likely to overcome challenges than those who have dropped out (Nieudwoudt and Pedler, 2021).
Students with explicit purposes for pursuing a specic eld of study are more likely to intend to enroll in that
particular academic program at the university. Yorke and Longden (2008) indicate that strong academic
commitment is associated with stability and persistence in students’ studies, while weak commitment may
lead to an intention to drop out. Tinto (2012) also suggests that solid academic commitment positively
impacts students’ continued engagement in learning activities and reduces the likelihood of dropping out.
Therefore, universities with a clear commitment to degree programs and the career-related benets they
offer, aligning with students’ prospects, enhance students’ commitment and attachment to the university.
H2: Degree and course commitment negatively impact student’s dropout intentions in Ho Chi Minh
City
Swick (1987) argues that many students perceive the academic process as highly stressful. Time
management is a university counseling service (Macan and Shahani, 1990). Students also need help
to allocate their time effectively and balance it with work and personal life (Burke et al., 2017). Time is
a signicant factor inuencing students’ daily lives. When time management skills are weak, such as
inadequate time allocation or last-minute cramming for exams, it is discussed as a cause of stress and a
decline in academic performance (Longman and Atkinson, 1988). The issues mentioned above occurring
consistently over an extended period can discourage students, resulting in a gradual formation of the
intention to drop out (Nieudwoudt and Pedler, 2021). Students struggling to balance their personal time
and study time at the university and those struggling with effective time management are more likely to
have an increased intention to drop out (Willcoxson, 2010).
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
H3: Ineffective time management positively impacts as students’ dropout intentions in Ho Chi Minh
City.
Willcoxson (2010) found that reducing students’ intention to drop out is related to building trust,
fostering learning expectations, improving teaching quality, providing support, and creating a vibrant
learning environment and social activities. Additionally, the emerging tendency of students to consider
dropping out is also linked to the teaching skills and attitudes of the faculty. Students perceive enthusiastic
support from instructors, a sense of closeness, provision of comprehensive learning materials, and timely
and positive feedback as factors that reduce their intention to drop out (Willcoxson, 2010). Social support,
learning experiences, and an engaging learning environment, along with institutional support, are factors
that inuence students’ decision to remain in school (Nieudwoudt and Pedler, 2021). Poor interaction or
communication with instructors and mentors can lead to students’ intention to drop out (Nieudwoudt and
Pedler, 2021).
H4: Skills and attitudes of instructors negatively impact student’s dropout intentions in Ho Chi Minh
City.
Glogowska, Young, and Lockyer (2007) demonstrate that students’ determination, career
commitment, social support, and student services provided by the university contribute to student retention.
Natoli, Jackling, and Siddique (2015) conclude that student support services offered by the university
are an essential factor in inuencing students’ intention to stay in school. The institution’s provision of
facilities, faculty, programs of study, student support services, and engagement in academic activities all
contribute to student retention (Kuh et al., 2007). Instructor members who are willing to address students’
concerns and understand their difculties in learning create enthusiasm for studying and reduce students’
thoughts of dropping out.
H5: Instructor support negatively impacts student’s dropout intentions in Ho Chi Minh City.
Willcoxson (2010) argues that carefully designed and logically structured courses with reliable
information yield high educational effectiveness. Instructors who incorporate real-life examples in their
lectures help students quickly understand and apply the subject to practical work situations (Willcoxson,
2010). Furthermore, university support for students to engage in experiential learning and work
opportunities in companies enhances their knowledge and skills, reducing their intention to drop out.
A exible curriculum can make students feel more comfortable dropping out. Rovai and Jordan (2004)
have demonstrated that program exibility can increase students’ commitment and intention to continue
their studies. Bransford (2000) emphasizes the importance of applying knowledge to real-life situations,
connecting knowledge with reality, and applying it in daily life to help students recognize the value of
learning and enhance their commitment to education.
H6: The curriculum design negatively impacts students’ intention to drop out in Ho Chi Minh City.
Case (2007) demonstrates that feedback is crucial in promoting student improvement by addressing
errors, lessons’ shortcomings, and areas needing improvement. Faculty support has a positive impact
on academic performance and student engagement. If instructors fail to meet students’ expectations or
requirements, harmful or ineffective feedback can lead to disappointment and strengthen the intention to
drop out (Hausmann, Schoeld and Woods, 2007).
H7: Positive instructor feedback negatively impacts students’ dropout intentions in Ho Chi Minh
City.
When participating in courses at school, students may encounter difculties in comprehending
knowledge, struggle to adapt and keep up with the teaching methods of instructors, nd it challenging
to understand specialized materials and feel overwhelmed by the workload. These factors can lead to
student frustration, a lack of self-belief in their ability to perform well in the courses, decreased motivation
to study, and an increased intention to drop out (Willcoxson, 2010). Eccles and Wigeld (2002) suggest that
students’ positive adaptation to the learning environment often leads to a more substantial commitment
to the learning process and a higher likelihood of sustaining their studies and completing the courses.
Effective adaptation can help students reduce stress and pressure in the learning process, which can
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
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contribute to the intention to drop out (Eisenberg et al., 2007). Kember, Biggs and Leung (2004) have
demonstrated the relationship between adaptation to the learning environment and students’ academic
performance, showing that well-adapted students tend to have higher grades, more stable academic
performance, and maintain their intention to study throughout the program.
H8: Ineffective adaptation to the learning environment positively impacts students’ dropout intentions
in Ho Chi Minh City.
According to empirical research surveys, many students who drop out initially show commitment
but fail to follow through (MacKie, 2001). Regular class truancy and non-participation positively correlate
to dropout (Willcoxson, 2010). Classroom engagement often provides valuable learning opportunities.
When students participate or participate minimally, they may take advantage of opportunities to
understand and acquire the necessary knowledge to achieve better results in assessments (Pascarella
and Terenzini, 1991). Kuh et al. (2008) have shown that classroom engagement is often correlated with
academic performance, with lower levels of engagement resulting in poorer academic outcomes and
higher intentions to drop out. Classroom engagement reects the commitment to the learning process.
Students who participate less in class may need more commitment and determination to complete the
course (Feldman, 1994).
H9: Low classroom participation positively impacts students’ dropout intentions in Ho Chi Minh City.
Good facilities create a conducive and comfortable learning environment that caters to the needs of
students and minimizes the likelihood of students intending to drop out. Good facilities inuence student
satisfaction, impact student condence (Omar et al., 2009), and shape future planning intentions (Clemes,
Gan and Kao, 2008). Reynolds (2007) analyzed the correlation between facilities and student recruitment
and retention. Classrooms that provide a high-quality learning environment, spacious and well-ventilated
libraries with diverse resources to support learning, and an information technology system that meets
students’ usage needs have a reverse correlation with students’ intention to drop out (Willcoxson, 2010).
H10: The university facilities negatively impact students’ dropout intentions in Ho Chi Minh City.
The cultural and social environment signicantly inuences students’ dropping out. Students may
feel helpless, isolated, and unwilling to continue their education when this environment is not friendly.
Conversely, when positive relationships characterize the environment, students will receive support and
encouragement to continue their studies. Research has shown that the cultural and social environment
impacts student satisfaction (Kahu, 2013). According to Willcoxson (2010), minimizing student dropout
requires providing facilities that meet social needs and are compatible with students’ religious/cultural
requirements.
H11: The cultural and social environment negatively impacts students’ intention to drop out in Ho
Chi Minh City.
Access to information and support from academic advisors increases student retention (Crosling,
Thomas and Heagney, 2009). Student retention depends not only on individual factors such as motivation
and academic achievement but also on external factors such as access to support and resources (Cabrera
et al., 2006). Access to information, guidance, and counseling from academic advisors and classmates, as
well as academic and social support services, can be crucial in the decision to continue or withdraw from
university (Tinto and Pusser, 2006). Students with access to high-quality support services are more likely
to be motivated and have higher retention rates (Tinto and Pusser, 2006). Students receiving good advice
from advisors regarding career choices or quickly receiving assistance when needed have a reverse
correlation with their intention to drop out (Willcoxson, 2010).
H12: Access to support from academic advisors negatively impact students’ dropout intentions in
Ho Chi Minh City.
Students who face nancial difculties often spend more time working than studying (Peltz et al.,
2021). Financial difculties negatively impact students’ commitment to their studies (Willcoxson, 2010).
Studies have found that students with high intentions to drop out often face nancial hardships and work
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
an average of more than 16 hours per week (Leveson, McNeil and Joiner, 2013). Bean (1980) examined
the impact of personal circumstances on students’ decision to drop out. The results showed that the
impact of difcult personal circumstances can lead to an intention to drop out. Pascarella and Terenzini
(1991) demonstrated that the university environment and students’ circumstances inuence the decision
to continue their education. The results also indicated that personal circumstances can be essential to
the dropout decision process. Students’ concerns about mental health, physical health, homesickness, or
accumulating debt positively correlate with their intention to drop out (Willcoxson, 2010).
H13: Personal circumstances positively impact students’ dropout intentions in Ho Chi Minh City.
Figure 1. Proposed research model
Materials and Methods
Process research: A mixed-methods research approach combining qualitative and quantitative
research methods was used in this study.
Preliminary qualitative and quantitative research: A group interview method was employed with
15 students in the qualitative phase of the study. The research topic involved collecting opinions from rst-,
second-, and third-year students at public and private universities in suburban and urban areas of Ho Chi
Minh City. The group discussion aimed to identify factors inuencing the intention to drop out and rene
the measurement scales of the research concepts to align with the research context. The results of the
interviews were synthesized and adjusted to form a draft measurement scale to support the preliminary
quantitative research and the formal quantitative research. Subsequently, a survey was conducted with
80 students to evaluate the reliability using Cronbach’s Alpha coefcient and perform Exploratory Factor
Analysis (EFA) to examine the convergent and discriminant validity of the measurement scale.
Formal quantitative research: The study utilized the Bootstrapping technique with a sample size
of N = 5000 to test the hypotheses. This step was employed to evaluate the measurement model and the
structural model:
The measurement model was assessed by examining measurement scale reliability, composite
reliability, convergent validity, and discriminant validity. To ensure the reliability of the measurement scales,
Cronbach’s alpha coefcient and Composite Reliability (CR) should exceed 0.6 (Hair Jr et al., 2009). The
Average Variance Extracted (AVE) of each construct in the model should be greater than 0.5, based on
the criteria proposed by Shiau, Sarstedt and Hair (2019). The study followed the criteria of Fornell and
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
Larcker (1981) to test the discriminant validity of the measurement scales, where the square root of the
AVE of each construct should be greater than the correlation coefcient between that construct and the
other constructs in the model.
The structural model was evaluated based on criteria such as the coefcient of determination (R2),
predictive relevance (Q2), and effect size (f2). The coefcient of determination (R2) values of the model
were interpreted as follows: weak (R2 = 0.02), moderate (R2 = 0.16), and robust (R2 = 0.26) explanations
of the model variance (Cohen, 2013). The Stone-Geisser criterion was used for predictive relevance
assessment, following the evaluation standards proposed by Henseler, Ringle, and Sinkovics (2009):
weak prediction (Q2 < 0,02); moderate prediction (Q2 within [0,02; 0,35]), and strong prediction (Q2 >
0,35). Lastly, the effect size (f2) between corresponding components was examined, with weak effect (f2
= 0.02), moderate effect (f2 = 0.15), and substantial effect (f2 = 0.35) based on the criteria of Henseler,
Ringle and Sinkovics (2009).
Scale measurement: The research model consists of 13 research constructs. The dependent
variable is Dropout Intentions, which was adopted by Farr-Wharton et al. (2018). The independent
variables include Lack of university commitment, Degree and course commitment, Ineffective time
management, teaching skills and attitudes of instructors, Instructor support, Curriculum design, Positive
instructor feedback, Ineffective adaptation to the Learning Environment, Low Classroom Engagement,
University facilities, Cultural and social environment, Access to support from academic advisors, and
Personal Circumstances. These independent variables were inherited and adjusted from the study by
Willcoxson (2010). These independent variables were inherited and adjusted from the study by Willcoxson
(2010). There are a total of 74 observed variables, and they were measured using a 5-point Likert scale:
(1) Strongly Disagree, (2) Disagree, (3) Neutral, (4) Agree, and (5) Strongly Agree (see Table 1).
Table 1
Scale measurement
Formal sample
Survey Sample Criteria: First- year, second- year, and third- year university students studying at
expected public and private universities located within the inner city and suburban areas of Ho Chi Minh
City. This study did not survey fourth-year students as they rarely intend to drop out.
Sampling Method: The study employed a non-probability convenience sampling method. The
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
survey questionnaire was distributed directly and online through Google Forms at various universities in
Ho Chi Minh City. The survey was conducted from February 13, 2023, to March 16, 2023.
Data Analysis Method: The study utilized Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-
SEM) to analyze the data. This method was chosen due to its advantage in handling small sample sizes
and data that do not follow normal distribution assumptions (Shiau, Sarstedt and Hai, 2019).
Formal Sample: The survey results yielded 804 valid responses. Therefore, the study used 804
observations as the formal sample for this research.
Results
Sample characteristics
Gender breakdown with the number of female students being 392 (48.8%) and the number of
male students being 412 (51.2%). Next is the breakdown of students by academic year, with 239 (29.7%)
rst-year students, 261 (32.5%) second-year students, 304 (37.8%) third-year students, and no fourth-
year students. Following that is the breakdown of students by major, with the corresponding number
of students in each major. The majors listed are Engineering with 163 students (20.3%), Economics
- International Trade with 133 students (16.5%), Business - Management with 158 students (19.7%),
Foreign Languages with 63 students (7.8%), Information Technology (IT) with 64 students (8.0%), Social
Sciences and Humanities with 25 students (3.1%), and other majors with 198 students (24.6%). Next is
the geographical breakdown, with the number of suburban students being 284 (35.3%) and the number
of downtown students being 520 (64.7%).
The university group includes various universities, with the corresponding number of students in
each university. The listed universities are Open University of Ho Chi Minh City with 70 students (8.7%),
Ho Chi Minh City University of Transport with 60 students (7.5%), Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City
with 184 students (22.9%), Ho Chi Minh City University of Technical Education with 71 students (8.8%),
Nong Lam University with 80 students (10.0%), Van Lang University with 71 students (8.8%), UEF School
of Economics and Finance with 53 students (6.6%), HUTECH University with 62 students (7.7%), Nguyen
Tat Thanh University with 79 students (9.8%), and FPT University with 74 students (9.2%). Finally, the
group with intentions to drop out is divided into two categories: those with intentions to drop out, totaling
206 (25.6%), and those without intentions to drop out, totaling 598 (74.4%).
Table 2
Participants’ Characteristics
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
Scale evaluation: In the PLS-SEM method, the outer loadings criterion is used to evaluate the
importance of predictor variables in the model. According to Henseler, Ringle and Sinkovics (2009), factor
loadings > 0.5 are considered. Factor loadings below 0.5 will be excluded from the measurement scale
in the model.
Table 3
Scale reliability
Table 3 presents the reliability testing results, including Cronbach’s Alpha, Composite Reliability
(CR), and Average Variance Extracted (AVE) for the measurement scales in the model. The statistical
table shows that the Cronbach’s alpha values of the measurement scales are all above 0.7, ensuring
reliability for use (Nunnally, 1978). Therefore, the variables will be retained and utilized in the subsequent
steps. Hair et al. (2019), state that a Composite Reliability (CR) value greater than 0.7 ensures reliability.
Based on the results in Table 3, all measurement scales have CR values above 0.6, except for the LCP,
IS, ALE and LUC scales. Lastly, the Average Variance Extracted (AVE) for all measurement scales is
more signicant than 0.5, ensuring reliability (Hair et al., 2019). Hence, most measurement scales in the
research model demonstrate satisfactory reliability.
Table 4
Scale statistical value
Items Mean SD Factor loadings
Student’s dropout inten-
tions (SDI)
SDI1: I often think about
dropping out of school. 2.065 1.208 0.75
SDI2: I am actively seeking
job opportunities and alter-
native learning options, so I
may leave the university.
2.044 1.123 0.815
SDI3: There is a possibility
that I will drop out of univer-
sity within the next year.
2.061 1.268 0.749
SDI4: I am looking for suit-
able timing to drop out of
school.
1.769 1.092 0.857
Lack of university commit-
ment (LUC)
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
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LUC1: I am studying at this
university as a steppingstone
to transfer to another univer-
sity.
1.924 1.138 0.922
LUC3: I am attending this
university because I did not
meet the requirements of
other preferences.
2.897 1.431 0.577
Degree and course com-
mitment (DCC)
DCC1: I have obvious rea-
sons for studying at this uni-
versity.
3.596 1.098 0.867
DCC2: I can enroll in the
course/program that I have
chosen.
3.799 0.969 0.856
DCC3: I know what profes-
sion I want to pursue in the
future.
3.506 1.138 0.807
Ineffective time manage-
ment (ITM)
ITM1: It is difcult to balance
personal time and study time
at the university.
3.073 1.119 0.798
ITM2: I struggle with manag-
ing study time effectively. 3.163 1.159 0.796
ITM3: It is challenging to bal-
ance family responsibilities
and university studies.
2.667 1.18 0.848
ITM4: It is challenging to
balance work and university
studies.
2.846 1.221 0.803
Skills and attitudes of in-
structors (SAI)
SAI1: The professors are en-
thusiastic and dedicated in
their teaching.
3.9 0.981 0.906
SAI2: The professors are
skilled at explaining things. 3.755 0.977 0.887
SAI3: The professors always
strive to make the classes in-
teresting.
3.795 0.986 0.865
SAI4: The faculty team clear-
ly communicates their ex-
pectations from the students
right from the beginning.
3.841 0.991 0.818
SAI5: The professors always
create a sense of closeness
with the students.
3.749 1.43 0.62
Instructor support (IS)
IS4: The faculty team is al-
ways available when I need
them.
3.68 1.699 0.768
IS5: My professors genuinely
make an effort to understand
the difculties students face
in their learning process.
3.641 0.974 0.9
Curriculum design (CD)
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
CD1: My professors incorpo-
rate real-life examples into
their teaching curriculum.
3.851 0.92 0.856
CD2: What I am learning at
the university has been re-
searched and proven.
3.745 0.919 0.889
CD3: I am satised with the
job experiential opportunities
introduced by the university.
3.582 0.993 0.807
Positive instructor feed-
back (PIF)
PIF1: I received helpful feed-
back on the assessment
tasks.
3.519 0.923 0.964
PIF2: I received prompt feed-
back on the tasks. 3.437 0.954 0.891
Ineffective adaptation
to learning environment
(IALE)
IALE2: My study program is
too demanding. 3.085 0.969 0.793
IALE4: I nd it difcult to un-
derstand various study mate-
rials.
3.345 0.995 0.693
IALE5: I struggle to adapt to
the teaching methods at the
university.
2.988 1.064 0.841
Low classroom participation
(LCP)
LCP7: I frequently skip class-
es. 2.311 1.309 0.882
LCP8: I don't attend classes
because the study materials
are available on the website.
2.567 1.208 0.847
University facilities (UF)
UF1: The classrooms pro-
vide a high-quality learning
environment.
3.624 1.004 0.846
UF2: The library is spacious,
well-ventilated, and offers a
diverse range of study ma-
terials.
3.827 0.97 0.876
UF3: The information tech-
nology system meets my us-
age needs.
3.562 1.035 0.859
UF4: The classrooms are
very spacious. 3.586 1.012 0.817
Cultural and social envi-
ronment (CSE)
CSE1: The facilities of the
university meet my social
needs.
3.545 1.023 0.937
CSE2: The facilities of the
university are suitable for my
religious/cultural needs.
3.585 0.98 0.952
Access to support from
academic advisors (ASA)
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
ASA1: I receive good advice
from the university regarding
career choices.
3.397 0.995 0.893
ASA2: I receive good advice
from a career counselor in
choosing a profession for
myself.
3.387 1.045 0.907
ASA3: I receive good advice
from the university regarding
career choices.
3.429 1.03 0.92
ASA4: I easily receive assis-
tance when needed from the
management team.
3.435 0.999 0.842
ASA5: The management
team is always ready to as-
sist when I need them.
3.427 1.019 0.754
Personal circumstances
(PC)
PC1: I worry about my men-
tal health. 3.075 1.21 0.82
PC2: I worry about my physi-
cal health. 3.039 1.202 0.821
PC3: I often feel homesick. 3.213 1.309 0.584
PC4: I worry about the accu-
mulating debt while studying
at university.
2.976 1.393 0.774
PC5: I have nancial issues. 3.06 1.351 0.742
(Source: own author)
Table 4 presents the descriptive statistics, standard deviations, and factor loadings of the variables
after variable elimination. The results show that all factor loadings are greater than 0.7, except for SAI5
and PC3, but they are retained to ensure content validity. The measurement scales used in the research
model exhibit convergence.
Table 5
The discriminant validity testing
(Source: own author)
Table 5 presents the discriminant validity test results for the model’s latent variables using the
criteria set by Fornell and Larcker (1981). The table shows that all square root of the average variance
extracted (AVE) values for each research variable are more signicant than the correlation coefcients
between that variable and the remaining variables in the model. Therefore, the measurement scales for
the research variables all demonstrate discriminant validity.
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
Model evaluation: The estimation results of the model using the Bootstrapping method with a
sample size of 5,000 are depicted in Figure 2.
Figure 2. PLS-SEM estimation results
Table 6
Hypothesis test results
(Source: own author)
The quality of the proposed model is assessed through the R2 values and the Stone-Geisser index
(Q2). Table 6 shows that the R2 value for SDI is 0.30, more signicant than 0.26. According to Cohen
(2013) evaluation criteria, the model’s predictive power is considered strong. The Stone-Geisser value
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
from Q²SDI is 0.178, falling within the range of (0.02-0.35). Following the evaluation criteria of Henseler
and Chin (2010), the model’s predictive ability is considered moderate. Additionally, the effect size (f2) of
the factors inuencing students’ intention to drop out is evaluated as weak. According to, Hair et al. (2019),
the inuence of factors with f2 values is all < 0.02.
The results of the hypothesis testing indicate that the lack of university commitment positively
impacts students’ intention to drop out (H1: B = 0.268; p = 0.000 < 0.01); thus, H1 is accepted. Next,
degree and course commitment negatively impact students’ intention to drop out (H2: B = -0.1, p = 0.006
< 0.01); thus, H2 is accepted. Similarly, ineffective time management positively impacts students’ intention
to drop out (H3: B = 0.172, p-value = 0.000 < 0.01). Thus, H3 is accepted.
However, the hypotheses H4 and H5 are not supported in this study (B = -0.064; p-value > 10%;
B = -0.014 > 10%). Additionally, the curriculum design negatively impacts students’ intention to drop out,
so H6 is accepted (B = -0.088, p-value = 0.079 < 10%). Moreover, the positive instructor feedback does
not impact students’ intention to drop out, so H7 is rejected. Furthermore, ineffective adaptation to the
learning environment and low classroom participation all have a positive impact on a student’s intention
to drop out; thus, H8 and H9 are supported (B = 0.116; p-value = 0.001 < 1%; B = 0.123; p-value = 0.001
< 0.001). Hypotheses H10, H11, and H12 are not supported in this study. Lastly, personal circumstances
positively impact a student’s intention to drop out; thus, H13 is accepted (B = 0.09; p-value = 0.008 < 1%).
Table 7
Differences in dropout intentions by gender, location, and type of university
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
(Source: own author)
Table 7 presents the results of a multigroup analysis examining the differences in students’ intention
to drop out of school based on three variables: gender (Male, Female), location of activity (Urban,
Suburban), and type of university (Public, Private). The results of the statistical tests indicate that the
p-values are all greater than 0.05, suggesting that there is no signicant difference in students’ intention
to drop out of school based on gender, location of activity, or type of university, except for ASA - SDI, the
access to support from academic advisors (ASA) has a differential impact on students’ dropout intentions
based on the type of university (p = 0.023 < 0.05).
Discussion
The research ndings indicate a higher intention to drop out among students who need more
commitment to the institution, particularly in Ho Chi Minh City. These ndings are consistent with previous
studies such as Willcoxson (2010), Bean (1980). Willcoxson (2010) identied that students are likelier to
leave university when they lack organizational commitment. Bean (1980) found that students who lack
commitment to the institution tend to withdraw from the learning process.
The commitment to credentials and courses inversely impacts students’ intention to drop out.
Previous studies such as Yorke and Longden (2008), Tinto (2012) have shown that strong commitment
to academic qualications and courses is associated with stability and persistence in students’ learning,
reducing the likelihood of dropouts.
In addition, ineffective time management positively impacts students’ intention to drop out in
Ho Chi Minh City. The research ndings are consistent with previous studies such as Nieudwoudt and
Pedler (2021), Willcoxson (2010). Ineffective time management leads to student discouragement and the
formation of dropout intentions (Nieudwoudt and Pedler, 2021). Students who are unable to balance their
personal time and study time are more likely to develop intentions to drop out (Willcoxson, 2010).
The design of the course program has an inverse impact on students’ intention to drop out. The
research ndings align with previous studies as well. Rovai and Jordan (2004) demonstrated that exibility
in the curriculum can increase student commitment and reduce dropout intentions. Willcoxson (2010)
stated that carefully designed and logical courses can be highly effective in education and contribute to
reducing students’ intention to drop out.
Low classroom participation by students has a positive impact on their intention to drop out. Some
previous studies have also shown that students who frequently skip classes and do not participate in
classroom activities have a positive relationship with dropout intentions (Willcoxson, 2010). Kuh et al.
(2008) argued that low-engagement students have poorer academic outcomes and higher intentions
to drop out. Students with low classroom participation need more determination to complete the course
(Feldman, 1994). Lastly, personal circumstances positively impact students’ intention to drop out in Ho
Chi Minh City, which is consistent with previous research. Personal circumstances inuence students’
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
decisions to drop out (Bean, 1980; Willcoxson, 2010).
The remaining factors, such as instructors’ teaching skills and attitude, instructor support, instructor
feedback, facilities, socio-cultural environment, and access to academic advisors, do not impact students’
intention to drop out. These research ndings contradict previous studies (Hausmann et al., 2007; Kuh
et al., 2007; Nieudwoudt and Pedler, 2021; Willcoxson, 2010). When interviewing a group of students in
various institutions, they expressed the belief that instructors’ teaching skills and attitude do not inuence
their intention to drop out. According to the interviewed student group, effective instruction requires
instructors to have practical experience, expertise, and in-depth knowledge. Students are concerned
with teaching methods and the enthusiasm and dedication of instructors. Instructor support helps
students effectively address difculties during the learning process. However, access to and support from
instructors is just one aspect, and if timely support from instructors is not received, students can seek
assistance from friends to resolve their issues. Whether students receive access to and support from
instructors does not impact their intention to drop out. The research results indicate that factors such
as timely feedback, facilities, socio-cultural environment, and access to academic advisors positively
but statistically insignicantly inuence students’ intention to drop out. The research ndings may not
be suitable for the actual situation in Vietnam and cannot be considered as factors affecting students’
intention to drop out.
Conclusion
Based on the practical context in Vietnam regarding students’ dropout rate and considering the
research by Willcoxson (2010), the study adjusted and identied factors inuencing students’ intention
to drop out in Ho Chi Minh City. The inuencing factors were explored by surveying 804 students from
public and private universities in suburban and urban areas. These factors include: 1) Lack of commitment
to the institution, 2) Degree/course commitment, 3) Time management, 4) Course design, 5) Students’
ineffective adaptation to the learning environment, 6) Limited classroom participation, and 7) Personal
circumstances. Additionally, the study found that the following factors did not impact students’ intention
to drop out in Ho Chi Minh City: Teaching skills and attitude of instructors, instructor support, instructor
feedback, facilities, socio-cultural environment, and access to academic advisors. Based on the ndings,
the research made two main contributions.
In terms of theoretical aspects, the research has identied factors that inuence students’ intention
to drop out in Vietnam, specically in Ho Chi Minh City, where previous studies were scarce. These factors
align with the practical situation for Ho Chi Minh City students. The study provides a comprehensive
understanding of the factors inuencing students’ intention to drop out. This helps researchers and
educational experts better understand the factors that may lead to student disengagement or loss of
interest in learning. Factors such as lack of commitment to the institution, degree/course commitment,
time management, course design, ineffective adaptation to the learning environment, and personal
circumstances have been identied to assess students’ intention to drop out. This can assist educational
managers and instructors develop appropriate support measures and interventions to maintain and
enhance students’ engagement and academic success.
In practical terms, the research ndings can be used to develop programs and educational policies
to reduce the student dropout rate. Universities and instructors can implement measures such as
enhancing student commitment, creating conducive learning environments, improving time management,
and offering better-designed courses to enhance student engagement and interest in learning. The
specic results from the study can also be used to propose individual support measures for students. This
may involve counseling and personal support to help students overcome personal and familial difculties
caused by their circumstances. The research also highlights that factor such as teaching skills and attitude
of instructors, instructor support, and academic advising are not decisive factors in students’ intention to
drop out in Ho Chi Minh City. This can help universities focus on other aspects of the learning experience
to create a positive learning environment and better support students.
The study is limited to the research scope within the urban and suburban areas of Ho Chi Minh
City. Therefore, expanding the research scope to include universities in other regions of Vietnam may
be necessary to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the issue. Additionally, the study needs to
address the nancial factors and cost of education. Surveying the impact of nancial factors and the cost
of education could be an essential part of understanding students’ intention to drop out.
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Mai Cam Binh et al. (2023). Factors Inuencing Students’ Dropout Intention in Ho Chi Minh City, International Journal of
Cognitive Research in Science, Engineering and Education (IJCRSEE), 11(3), 417-437.
Acknowledgements
This study is the outcome of a university-level project (Grant number: 22/2QTKDSV01) and was
supported by funding from the Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City.
Conict of interests
The authors declare no conict of interest.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, M.C.B, N.T.T.N and P.H.B.N; methodology, T.N.G.; software, T.N.G.; formal
analysis, T.N.G. and N.N.H; writing—original draft preparation, T.N.G. and N.N.H.; writing—review and
editing, T.N.G. and N.N.H. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
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Appendix
Items
Student’s dropout intentions (SDI)
SDI1: I often think about dropping out of school.
SDI2: I am actively seeking job opportunities and alternative learning options, so I may
leave the university.
SDI3: There is a possibility that I will drop out of university within the next year.
SDI4: I am looking for suitable timing to drop out of school.
Lack of university commitment (LUC)
LUC1: I am studying at this university as a steppingstone to transfer to another univer-
sity.
LUC2: The reputation of my university is very important for job applications.
LUC3: I am attending this university because I did not meet the requirements of other
preferences.
LUC4: I am satised with the university I am currently studying at.
LUC5: I am satised with my personal experience at the university.
Degree and course commitment (DCC)
DCC1: I have obvious reasons for studying at this university.
DCC2: I can enroll in the course/program that I have chosen.
DCC3: I know what profession I want to pursue in the future.
Ineective time management (ITM)
ITM1: It is dicult to balance personal time and study time at the university.
ITM2: I struggle with managing study time eectively.
ITM3: It is challenging to balance family responsibilities and university studies.
ITM4: It is challenging to balance work and university studies.
Skills and attitudes of instructors (SAI)
SAI1: The professors are enthusiastic and dedicated in their teaching.
SAI2: The professors are skilled at explaining things.
SAI3: The professors always strive to make the classes interesting.
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SAI4: The faculty team clearly communicates their expectations from the students right
from the beginning.
SAI5: The professors always create a sense of closeness with the students.
SAI6: I have encountered diculties in understanding the accent of some instructors
while listening.
SAI7: I have had some unpleasant experiences with certain instructors.
Instructor support (IS)
IS1: I have received support from the instructors
IS2: Instructors are sensitive to the individual needs of students
IS3: Instructors often strive to meet my needs.
IS4: The faculty team is always available when I need them.
IS5: My professors genuinely make an eort to understand the diculties students face
in their learning process.
Curriculum design (CD)
CD1: My professors incorporate real-life examples into their teaching curriculum.
CD2: What I am learning at the university has been researched and proven.
CD3: I am satised with the job experiential opportunities introduced by the university.
Positive instructor feedback (PIF)
PIF1: I received helpful feedback on the assessment tasks.
PIF2: I received prompt feedback on the tasks.
Ineective adaptation to learning environment (IALE)
IALE1: I have the potential to succeed after completing your university education.
IALE2: My study program is too demanding.
IALE3: I believe that my essay writing skills are sucient for university-level study.
IALE4: I nd it dicult to understand various study materials.
IALE5: I struggle to adapt to the teaching methods at the university.
IALE6: I need good analytical skills in order to understand the content.
IALE7: I need a good memory in order to study eectively.
Low classroom participation (LCP)
LCP1: My classes are engaging and interesting.
LCP2: I enjoy the intellectual challenges that come with what I am studying.
LCP3: I appreciate the opportunity to interact with students from diverse cultural back-
grounds at the university.
LCP4: When working in groups, I enjoy collaborating with peers from dierent cultural
backgrounds.
LCP5: I actively participate in class discussions.
LCP6: I make it a habit to attend class and prepare the required materials in advance.
LCP7: I frequently skip classes.
LCP8: I don't attend classes because the study materials are available on the website.
LCP9: I often seek advice from my instructors.
LCP10: I am diligent in my studies at school.
University facilities (UF)
UF1: The classrooms provide a high-quality learning environment.
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UF2: The library is spacious, well-ventilated, and oers a diverse range of study materi-
als.
UF3: The information technology system meets my usage needs.
UF4: The classrooms are very spacious.
UF5: The class schedule is convenient for me.
Cultural and social environment (CSE)
CSE1: The facilities of the university meet my social needs.
CSE2: The facilities of the university are suitable for my religious/cultural needs.
CSE3: I am sensitive to students from dierent cultural backgrounds.
CSE4: I appreciate the physical facilities and environment of the university campus.
CSE5: I feel a sense of belonging to the university community.
CSE6: I sometimes feel lonely in the university.
CSE7: I nd it easy to commute to the university.
Access to support from academic advisors (ASA)
ASA1: I receive good advice from the university regarding career choices.
ASA2: I receive good advice from a career counselor in choosing a profession for my-
self.
ASA3: I receive good advice from the university regarding career choices.
ASA4: I easily receive assistance when needed from the management team.
ASA5: The management team is always ready to assist when I need them.
ASA6: The sta at the university are often sensitive to the personal needs of students.
ASA7: Having an advisor at the university is very helpful.
Personal circumstances (PC)
PC1: I worry about my mental health.
PC2: I worry about my physical health.
PC3: I often feel homesick.
PC4: I worry about the accumulating debt while studying at university.
PC5: I have nancial issues.